Global Trade Alert
Global Trade Alert

U.S. Tariff Barrier Estimates 2025

A comprehensive Excel file with our estimates of the applicable tariffs for all products and origins.

The U.S. Tariff Barrier Estimates 2025 are a comprehensive dataset providing granular evidence on current import conditions. This resource details the applied tariff rates for every combination of import origin and HS 8-digit product code, paired with corresponding 2024 import values. Current Version: 26 November 2025, 9 am CET.

Authors

Johannes Fritz

Date Published

31 Oct 2025

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Last update: 26 November, 9 am CET

  • Changed Annex II as of 13 November 2025
  • Added Brazil EO amendment effective 13 November 2025
  • Section 301 adjustment for Chinese imports
  • November deal announcements with Southern American economies, Switzerland + Liechtenstein, Republic of Korea

This dataset offers a detailed view of the US tariff structure as of 2025. For every country and specific product, you will find our estimated applied tariff rate and the total value of US imports for that item in 2024. The data is delivered in a convenient Excel spreadsheet, ready for immediate analysis by researchers, businesses, and policymakers.

To ensure full transparency and allow for further research, we also provide the complete methodology and replication files. All resources are continuously updated to reflect the latest version.

Downloads & Resources

  • US Tariff Barrier Estimates 2025 (.xlsx): The complete dataset containing estimated tariff rates and 2024 import values by country and HS 8-digit product code.
  • Short introductory video.
  • Methodology (.pdf/.md): A detailed document outlining the data sources, calculation steps, and assumptions used in the analysis.
  • Replication Files (.zip): The complete code and source data required to reproduce the results from scratch.

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